Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galway United v Sligo Rovers

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galway United (Local)

Prediction 52.54%1.90fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.66%52.54%52.65%55.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.731.751.8561.35%57.95%57.14%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sligo Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 20.73%4.82fair odd
EV -0.502%
Edge -0.105%
Kelly -0.132%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%20.80%20.60%22.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.494.504.8025.00%22.29%22.22%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.74%3.74fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.58%26.66%26.75%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.483.5831.25%29.01%28.78%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 52.54%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 20.73%; Draw: 26.74%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -0.502%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -5.89%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.86%EV -4.28%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 19:40
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 19:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:19
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 19:19
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:19
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:29
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.96%E -3.33%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.25%EV -4.44%E -0.963%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -9.63%E -2.85%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.49%E -3.64%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -5.68%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:38
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.01%E -3.96%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:34
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.01%E -3.96%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:25
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -7.54%E -4.28%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:34
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -7.54%E -4.28%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:34
BetAnything🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -7.54%E -4.28%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:39
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -7.76%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:19
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -7.76%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:19
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 19:09
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:18
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.59%E -4.94%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.11%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 19:34
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.11%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 19:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -9.64%E -5.60%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.04%EV -11.74%E -6.99%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-27 19:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 52.47%EV -12.79%E -7.71%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-27 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -13.32%E -8.07%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.35%EV -13.32%E -8.07%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.07%EV -15.01%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-27 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.02%EV -13.84%E -8.44%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 19:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.02%EV -13.84%E -8.44%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 19:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.44%EV -14.37%E -8.81%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.85%EV -15.01%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.71%EV -14.44%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-27 19:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:35