La escuela de los momios

Galway United v Sligo Rovers

Inicio: 2026-02-27 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Galway United (Local)

Predicción 52.54%1.90momio equitativo
EV -2.81%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -3.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.66%52.54%52.65%55.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.731.751.8561.35%57.95%57.14%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sligo Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 20.73%4.82momio equitativo
EV -0.502%
Ventaja -0.105%
Kelly -0.132%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.13%20.80%20.60%22.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.494.504.8025.00%22.29%22.22%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.74%3.74momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.58%26.66%26.75%27.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.453.483.5831.25%29.01%28.78%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -5.89%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.86%EV -4.28%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 19:40
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 19:09
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:19
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 19:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:29
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.96%E -3.33%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.25%EV -4.44%E -0.963%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -9.63%E -2.85%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:35
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.49%E -3.64%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -5.68%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:38
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.01%E -3.96%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:34
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.01%E -3.96%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:25
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -7.54%E -4.28%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:34
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -7.54%E -4.28%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:34
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -7.54%E -4.28%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:19
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:39
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -7.76%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:19
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -7.76%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:19
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 19:09
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:18
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.59%E -4.94%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.11%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 19:34
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.11%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -9.64%E -5.60%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.04%EV -11.74%E -6.99%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-27 19:19
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:30
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:30
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.47%EV -12.79%E -7.71%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-27 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -13.32%E -8.07%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.35%EV -13.32%E -8.07%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.07%EV -15.01%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-27 19:19
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.02%EV -13.84%E -8.44%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.02%EV -13.84%E -8.44%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.44%EV -14.37%E -8.81%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.85%EV -15.01%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.71%EV -14.44%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-27 19:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:35