L’École des cotes

Galway United v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 52.54%1.90cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -3.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.66%52.54%52.65%55.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.631.731.751.8561.35%57.95%57.14%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.73%4.82cote équitable
EV -0.502%
Avantage -0.105%
Kelly -0.132%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.13%20.80%20.60%22.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.494.504.8025.00%22.29%22.22%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.74%3.74cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.58%26.66%26.75%27.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.453.483.5831.25%29.01%28.78%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 51.97%EV -2.81%E -1.52%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -5.89%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.86%EV -4.28%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 19:40
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-27 19:09
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:19
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.71%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 19:19
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 19:19
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -5.44%E -3.02%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 19:29
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -5.96%E -3.33%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.25%EV -4.44%E -0.963%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -9.63%E -2.85%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:35
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -6.49%E -3.64%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.51%EV -5.68%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 19:38
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -7.01%E -3.96%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -4.65%E -1.01%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 19:34
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.83%EV -7.01%E -3.96%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-27 19:25
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -7.54%E -4.28%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:34
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -7.54%E -4.28%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:34
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -7.54%E -4.28%K -9.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -10.87%E -2.53%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:35
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:19
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-27 19:39
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -7.76%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:19
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.62%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.69%EV -7.76%E -1.74%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.69%EV -7.76%E -2.25%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 19:19
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.35%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 19:09
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.91%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -10.24%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.12%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:18
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -8.06%E -4.61%K -10.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-27 19:25
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.59%E -4.94%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -6.72%E -1.49%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-27 19:04
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.58%EV -9.11%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.79%E -2.00%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.10%E -2.68%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-27 19:34
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.65%EV -9.11%E -5.27%K -12.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.77%E -3.57%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-27 19:34
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -9.64%E -5.60%K -13.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-27 19:19
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.04%EV -11.74%E -6.99%K -17.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.86%EV -17.09%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.10%EV -10.43%E -3.11%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.4%2026-02-27 19:19
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:30
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:30
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:30
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -12.27%E -7.35%K -18.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -0.502%E -0.105%K -0.132%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-27 19:29
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.47%EV -12.79%E -7.71%K -19.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -12.94%E -3.08%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-27 19:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -13.32%E -8.07%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -1.54%E -0.324%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.09%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 19:29
Parions Sport (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.35%EV -13.32%E -8.07%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.07%EV -15.01%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -13.11%E -4.03%K -5.83%G +0.000%15.8%2026-02-27 19:19
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.02%EV -13.84%E -8.44%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 19:29
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.02%EV -13.84%E -8.44%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -2.58%E -0.548%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -6.42%E -1.84%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-27 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 52.44%EV -14.37%E -8.81%K -22.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.85%EV -15.01%E -3.66%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.71%EV -14.44%E -4.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-27 19:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:39
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-02-27 19:35