The School of Odds
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Galway United v Shelbourne Dublin

2026-08-28 18:45 UTC — League of Ireland

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galway United (Local)

Prediction 36.46%2.74fair odd
EV +0.272%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.156%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.68%36.26%36.62%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.572.552.7542.02%38.86%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)

Prediction 37.01%2.70fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.44%37.11%36.94%38.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.452.5644.44%41.04%40.82%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.53%3.77fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%26.64%26.44%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.373.383.6632.79%29.64%29.63%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Galway United (Local): 36.46%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 37.01%; Draw: 26.53%. For Galway United (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.75, producing a positive expected value of +0.272%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV +0.272%E +0.099%K +0.156%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV +0.272%E +0.099%K +0.156%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV +0.272%E +0.099%K +0.156%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:49
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV +0.272%E +0.099%K +0.156%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:50
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV +0.272%E +0.099%K +0.156%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV +0.272%E +0.099%K +0.156%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV +0.272%E +0.099%K +0.156%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:49
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV +0.272%E +0.099%K +0.156%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV +0.272%E +0.099%K +0.156%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 18:50
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -3.37%E -1.27%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -13.03%E -5.55%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -15.10%E -4.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-21 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.69%EV -4.10%E -1.56%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.19%EV -14.14%E -6.10%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.13%EV -16.43%E -5.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-21 18:49
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.63%E -2.21%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 19:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.88%E -6.47%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -17.76%E -5.73%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-21 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.88%E -6.47%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -17.76%E -5.73%K -8.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-21 18:49
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.04%EV -6.66%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.04%EV -5.26%E -2.06%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91%EV -2.90%E -0.792%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-21 20:24
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 19:49
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.68%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.17%EV -16.73%E -7.44%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.16%EV -19.08%E -6.26%K -9.31%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-21 18:49
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -7.38%E -2.91%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -6.00%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.61%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -7.38%E -2.91%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -6.00%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.61%E -1.88%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.44%EV -6.00%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.73%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.44%EV -6.00%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-21 20:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.49%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 19:50
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -5.82%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-21 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-21 19:53
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 19:50
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.47%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 00:05
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.48%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-21 20:24
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.18%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 19:50
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -9.33%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-21 19:50
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.18%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.80%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-21 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.23%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -14.88%E -6.47%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -11.12%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-21 19:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.88%E -6.47%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -12.45%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-21 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.20%EV -14.88%E -6.47%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.16%EV -16.43%E -5.22%K -7.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-21 19:49
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.60%EV -11.92%E -5.01%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.80%EV -13.78%E -4.24%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-21 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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