Idioma:Español
Galway United v Shelbourne Dublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Galway United (Local)
Predicción 35.77%2.80momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.460%
Kelly -0.721%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.22%35.79%35.71%36.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.602.7641.67%38.92%38.46%36.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)
Predicción 36.42%2.75momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.79%36.35%36.37%37.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.512.522.6642.55%39.80%39.60%37.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.81%3.60momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.760%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.88%27.86%27.91%29.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.62%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Galway United (Local): 35.77%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante): 36.42%; Empate: 27.81%. Para Galway United (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.80. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.76, con un valor esperado de -1.27%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.87%EV -1.27%E -0.460%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -5.32%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.66%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.32%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 18:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -7.71%E -2.99%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-28 06:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.87%EV -9.50%E -3.75%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -11.51%E -4.74%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.40%E -3.93%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-28 06:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.29%EV -11.29%E -4.55%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.47%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.24%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-28 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.29%EV -11.29%E -4.55%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.47%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.24%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-28 06:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 35.33%EV -13.07%E -5.38%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.53%EV -14.42%E -6.14%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.15%EV -15.18%E -4.98%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-28 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -14.15%E -5.89%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-28 18:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |