Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Galway United v Shelbourne Dublin

Início: 2026-08-28 18:44 UTC

Final: Galway United 1–1 Shelbourne Dublin

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Galway United (Local)

Previsão 35.77%2.80odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.460%
Kelly -0.721%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.22%35.79%35.71%36.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.572.602.7641.67%38.92%38.46%36.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)

Previsão 36.42%2.75odd justa
EV -3.13%
Vantagem -1.18%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.79%36.35%36.37%37.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.512.522.6642.55%39.80%39.60%37.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.81%3.60odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -0.760%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.88%27.86%27.91%29.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.273.303.5032.79%30.62%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Galway United (Local): 35.77%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante): 36.42%; Empate: 27.81%. Para Galway United (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.76, com valor esperado de -1.27%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.87%EV -1.27%E -0.460%K -0.721%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.16%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.98%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 18:35
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -5.32%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -2.66%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 18:20
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -5.20%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:34
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 17:55
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:00
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:00
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:00
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.51%EV -5.92%E -2.25%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 18:40
BetAnything🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 18:40
BetUS🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -6.28%E -2.40%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-28 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.32%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.16%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.35%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -3.49%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 18:40
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:34
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-28 18:40
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-28 18:35
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-28 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-28 18:35
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -6.99%E -2.69%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-28 18:35
1xBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -7.71%E -2.99%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.25%EV -6.04%E -2.34%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-28 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 18:20
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 18:40
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 18:35
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 18:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.78%E -3.44%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 06:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.87%EV -9.50%E -3.75%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -5.68%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -4.33%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 18:39
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-28 18:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 18:20
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-28 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.96%E -3.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-28 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.45%EV -11.51%E -4.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.12%EV -12.40%E -3.93%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-28 06:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.57%E -4.23%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-28 18:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.29%EV -11.29%E -4.55%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.47%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.24%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-28 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.29%EV -11.29%E -4.55%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.47%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.24%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-28 06:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-28 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -12.36%E -5.04%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.60%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -13.79%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-28 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 35.33%EV -13.07%E -5.38%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.53%EV -14.42%E -6.14%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.15%EV -15.18%E -4.98%K -7.40%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-28 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -14.15%E -5.89%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.89%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-28 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.43%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-08-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-28 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.29%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.51%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-08-28 18:40