Language:English
Galway United v Shamrock Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galway United (Local)
Prediction 24.81%4.03fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.830%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%24.76%24.81%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.753.9029.41%26.95%26.67%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 48.00%2.08fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.87%48.01%48.07%49.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.922.0155.56%52.28%52.08%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.19%3.68fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.28%27.23%27.12%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.303.5433.33%30.12%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 24.81%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 48.00%; Draw: 27.19%. For Galway United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.90, with an expected value of -3.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.24%E -0.830%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.24%E -0.830%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.25%E -5.48%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.85%EV -3.53%E -1.76%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -3.74%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 17:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-08 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.45%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -6.71%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.25%E -5.48%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -5.20%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -5.20%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 18:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-08 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -11.21%E -6.06%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.34%E -4.55%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -7.85%E -4.09%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 18:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -8.81%E -4.64%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -11.21%E -6.06%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.61%E -7.56%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-08 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.17%E -6.65%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.42%E -6.14%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-08 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -7.85%E -4.09%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 17:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -13.61%E -7.56%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-05-08 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -15.64%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -10.73%E -5.77%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-08 18:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-05-08 18:34 |