La escuela de los momios

Galway United v Shamrock Rovers

Inicio: 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

Final: Galway United 1–3 Shamrock Rovers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Galway United (Local)

Predicción 24.81%4.03momio equitativo
EV -3.24%
Ventaja -0.830%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.63%24.76%24.81%25.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.713.753.9029.41%26.95%26.67%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 48.00%2.08momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -3.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.87%48.01%48.07%49.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.911.922.0155.56%52.28%52.08%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.19%3.68momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.28%27.23%27.12%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.303.5433.33%30.12%30.30%28.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.24%E -0.830%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 18:14
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.24%E -0.830%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.25%E -5.48%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:39
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.85%EV -3.53%E -1.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -3.74%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 18:40
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:59
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:55
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:54
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:55
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:55
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:55
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:30
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.45%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:39
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:54
1xBet3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -6.71%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:34
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 17:54
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.25%E -5.48%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:15
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -5.20%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 17:54
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -5.20%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:00
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:00
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:04
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:05
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 17:59
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 17:59
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:20
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -11.21%E -6.06%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.34%E -4.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 17:54
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:54
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:40
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 17:54
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -7.85%E -4.09%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:19
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -8.81%E -4.64%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 17:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -11.21%E -6.06%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 18:14
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.61%E -7.56%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-08 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.17%E -6.65%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.42%E -6.14%K -9.21%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-08 18:14
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -7.85%E -4.09%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:54
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:55
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:55
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -13.61%E -7.56%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -15.64%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -10.73%E -5.77%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 17:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-05-08 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-08 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-08 18:34