L’École des cotes

Galway United v Shamrock Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:45 UTC

Score final : Galway United 1–3 Shamrock Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 24.81%4.03cote équitable
EV -3.24%
Avantage -0.830%
Kelly -1.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.63%24.76%24.81%25.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.753.9029.41%26.95%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shamrock Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.00%2.08cote équitable
EV -3.53%
Avantage -1.76%
Kelly -3.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.87%48.01%48.07%49.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.911.922.0155.56%52.28%52.08%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.19%3.68cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.28%27.23%27.12%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.303.5433.33%30.12%30.30%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.24%E -0.830%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 18:14
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.24%E -0.830%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.25%E -5.48%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 18:39
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.85%EV -3.53%E -1.76%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -3.74%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 18:40
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.08%EV -4.97%E -2.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:59
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:55
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.09%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 17:54
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:55
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:55
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:55
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -4.48%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-08 18:30
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.45%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:39
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.72%E -1.50%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:54
1xBet3.76I 26.60%NM 24.85%EV -6.71%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -5.91%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 18:34
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.27%EV -6.89%E -3.55%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 18:39
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 17:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 17:54
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.25%E -5.48%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 18:15
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -5.20%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 17:54
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -9.77%E -5.20%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:00
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.99%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 18:00
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 17:59
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:04
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 18:05
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 17:59
Bet Right3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -7.37%E -3.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.90%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 17:59
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-08 18:20
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -11.21%E -6.06%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.34%E -4.55%K -6.67%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-08 17:54
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.82%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:54
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.41%E -3.29%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 18:40
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.26%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-08 17:54
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.08%EV -7.85%E -4.09%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 18:19
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.34%EV -8.81%E -4.64%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 17:59
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -11.21%E -6.06%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-08 18:14
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -13.61%E -7.56%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-08 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.17%E -6.65%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.42%E -6.14%K -9.21%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-08 18:14
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -7.85%E -4.09%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.54%E -2.22%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:54
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:55
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.33%E -4.36%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:55
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.16%E -3.76%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -13.61%E -7.56%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -12.98%E -4.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -15.64%E -4.60%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -10.73%E -5.77%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -11.62%E -3.58%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-08 17:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-05-08 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-08 18:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-08 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-08 18:34