Language:English
Galway United v Bohemians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galway United (Local)
Prediction 24.82%4.03fair odd
EV -0.465%
Edge -0.116%
Kelly -0.155%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.01
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.29%24.95%24.66%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.604.0130.30%27.56%27.78%24.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bohemians (Visit)
Prediction 48.32%2.07fair odd
EV -0.940%
Edge -0.458%
Kelly -0.895%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%48.19%48.45%49.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.931.912.0556.18%51.77%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.692%
Kelly -0.955%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%26.86%26.88%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.303.6333.33%29.90%30.30%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galway United (Local): 24.82%; Bohemians (Visit): 48.32%; Draw: 26.86%. For Galway United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.01, with an expected value of -0.465%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.29%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -3.20%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.44%EV -2.51%E -0.692%K -0.955%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-22 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.10%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-22 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-22 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-22 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.80%EV -13.99%E -7.86%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -0.940%E -0.458%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-22 17:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.05%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -16.75%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.43%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-22 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.37%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -14.37%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-22 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -14.37%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.09%E -6.03%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -15.61%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -15.61%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -18.09%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-22 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92% | 1.8% | 2026-05-22 18:40 |