L’École des cotes

Galway United v Bohemians

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 18:45 UTC

Score final : Galway United 2–4 Bohemians

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galway United (Local)

Prévision 24.82%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.465%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.155%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.29%24.95%24.66%26.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.633.604.0130.30%27.56%27.78%24.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bohemians (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.32%2.07cote équitable
EV -0.940%
Avantage -0.458%
Kelly -0.895%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.31%48.19%48.45%49.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.931.912.0556.18%51.77%52.36%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -0.692%
Kelly -0.955%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%26.86%26.88%28.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.303.6333.33%29.90%30.30%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.29%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Pinnacle3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -3.20%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.44%EV -2.51%E -0.692%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 18:40
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 18:40
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 18:40
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:19
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.10%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 18:40
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 18:40
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 18:00
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:40
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:40
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 18:40
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:39
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:40
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 18:30
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-22 18:40
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:30
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.80%EV -13.99%E -7.86%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-22 18:40
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -0.940%E -0.458%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 18:00
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 17:59
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-22 18:20
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.05%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -16.75%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-22 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.43%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-22 18:20
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.37%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -14.37%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 11:50
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -14.37%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.09%E -6.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-22 18:40
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -15.61%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 18:00
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -15.61%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 18:00
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -18.09%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-22 18:40