La escuela de los momios

Galway United v Bohemians

Inicio: 2026-05-22 18:45 UTC

Final: Galway United 2–4 Bohemians

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Galway United (Local)

Predicción 24.82%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.465%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.155%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.29%24.95%24.66%26.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.633.604.0130.30%27.56%27.78%24.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bohemians (Visitante)

Predicción 48.32%2.07momio equitativo
EV -0.940%
Ventaja -0.458%
Kelly -0.895%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.31%48.19%48.45%49.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.931.912.0556.18%51.77%52.36%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.692%
Kelly -0.955%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%26.86%26.88%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.303.6333.33%29.90%30.30%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.29%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -8.96%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 18:40
Pinnacle3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -3.20%E -0.819%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -5.29%E -2.70%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.44%EV -2.51%E -0.692%K -0.955%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-22 18:40
BetOnline.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 18:40
LowVig.ag3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.42%EV -8.67%E -4.59%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 18:40
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 18:40
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.77%E -2.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 18:19
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.10%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 18:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 18:40
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 18:40
BetAnything3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.68%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.00%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 18:00
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:40
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.15%EV -7.22%E -3.76%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 18:40
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 18:40
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:39
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.92%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -9.64%E -5.15%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-22 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.16%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-22 18:40
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.15%E -4.87%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.40%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:40
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.26%E -3.22%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 18:30
Winamax (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.11%EV -8.19%E -4.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-22 18:40
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-22 18:30
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.64%E -2.96%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-22 18:20
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.47%EV -11.88%E -3.35%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.80%EV -13.99%E -7.86%K -17.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.73%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-22 18:40
LeoVegas3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -0.940%E -0.458%K -0.895%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 18:00
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Casumo3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
betPARX3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Unibet (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
TABtouch3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Unibet (NL)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
ATG (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -1.42%E -0.697%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-22 18:00
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 17:59
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -7.70%E -4.03%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-22 18:20
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.05%EV -10.60%E -5.73%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -16.75%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-22 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -13.12%E -3.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -11.57%E -6.32%K -13.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -19.43%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-22 18:20
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -14.37%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.31%EV -2.39%E -1.18%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-22 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -14.37%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.56%EV -3.36%E -1.68%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-22 11:50
Winamax (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -14.37%E -4.16%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.09%E -6.03%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-22 18:40
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -15.61%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 18:00
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -15.61%E -4.59%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.32%E -2.18%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-22 18:00
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -18.09%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.51%EV -6.74%E -3.49%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-22 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-22 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%1.8%2026-05-22 18:40