Language:English
Dundalk v St Patricks Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundalk (Local)
Prediction 24.94%4.01fair odd
EV -0.246%
Edge -0.062%
Kelly -0.082%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%24.79%25.16%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.98%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Patricks Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 48.34%2.07fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%48.41%48.16%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.63%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.601%
Kelly -0.826%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.80%26.69%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.403.6633.33%29.73%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundalk (Local): 24.94%; St Patricks Athletic (Visit): 48.34%; Draw: 26.72%. For Dundalk (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.246%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.49%E -0.378%K -0.506%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -12.02%E -6.61%K -14.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.14%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 15:41 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -2.99%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.03%EV -5.25%E -2.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -2.20%E -0.601%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.31%EV -8.64%E -4.57%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.94%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.54%EV -9.41%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 15:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.32%E -1.66%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 15:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -5.25%E -2.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.54%E -6.31%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -14.49%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -15.83%E -5.02%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -15.83%E -5.02%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -17.16%E -5.54%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.83%E -6.61%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -14.49%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -11.05%E -6.01%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |