L’École des cotes

Dundalk v St Patricks Athletic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Prévision 24.94%4.01cote équitable
EV -0.246%
Avantage -0.062%
Kelly -0.082%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.05%24.79%25.16%26.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.98%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Patricks Athletic (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.34%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.89%48.41%48.16%50.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.63%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.72%3.74cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.601%
Kelly -0.826%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.53%26.80%26.69%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.403.6633.33%29.73%29.41%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 15:45
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 15:45
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:45
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:45
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.49%E -0.378%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -12.02%E -6.61%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.14%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 15:41
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -2.99%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.03%EV -5.25%E -2.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -2.20%E -0.601%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:50
Marathon Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.31%EV -8.64%E -4.57%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.94%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:54
1xBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.54%EV -9.41%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:50
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:49
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.32%E -1.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 15:50
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:53
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -5.25%E -2.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:15
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:19
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:20
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:20
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.54%E -6.31%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 15:45
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 15:54
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -14.49%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -15.83%E -5.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:15
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -15.83%E -5.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:15
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:50
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:50
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 15:55
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 15:50
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 15:40
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 15:40
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -17.16%E -5.54%K -8.17%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 15:15
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.83%E -6.61%K -9.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 15:45
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:50
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:50
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:55
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -14.49%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-06 15:50
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -11.05%E -6.01%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-06 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-04-06 15:55