La escuela de los momios

Dundalk v St Patricks Athletic

Inicio: 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundalk (Local)

Predicción 24.94%4.01momio equitativo
EV -0.246%
Ventaja -0.062%
Kelly -0.082%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.05%24.79%25.16%26.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.713.704.0029.41%26.98%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St Patricks Athletic (Visitante)

Predicción 48.34%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.89%48.41%48.16%50.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.912.0055.56%52.63%52.36%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.72%3.74momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.601%
Kelly -0.826%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.80%26.69%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.403.6633.33%29.73%29.41%27.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 15:45
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 15:45
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 15:45
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -0.246%E -0.062%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:45
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -1.49%E -0.378%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -12.02%E -6.61%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -5.14%E -1.45%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 15:41
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.71%EV -2.99%E -0.768%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.03%EV -5.25%E -2.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.26%EV -2.20%E -0.601%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:50
Marathon Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.31%EV -8.64%E -4.57%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.94%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:54
1xBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.54%EV -9.41%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:50
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.23%E -1.38%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:49
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.32%E -1.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 15:50
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -3.80%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 15:53
Unibet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.04%EV -5.25%E -2.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 15:15
Unibet (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
BetRivers3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
ATG (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:19
betPARX3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:20
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Grosvenor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Casumo3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Unibet (NL)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:15
Svenska Spel3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -13.15%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:20
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.73%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.54%E -6.31%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 15:45
BetUS3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 15:54
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -6.70%E -3.47%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -14.49%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -15.83%E -5.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:15
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -7.73%E -2.09%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -15.83%E -5.02%K -7.36%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:15
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:50
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.19%E -3.74%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:50
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -8.97%E -2.46%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:55
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 15:55
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.67%E -4.02%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 15:50
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -9.12%E -4.85%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 15:40
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 15:40
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -9.60%E -5.14%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -17.16%E -5.54%K -8.17%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-06 15:15
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -10.22%E -2.84%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.83%E -6.61%K -9.92%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-06 15:45
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -6.22%E -3.21%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:50
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.47%E -3.23%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -8.15%E -4.29%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:50
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.74%E -2.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:50
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.72%E -3.63%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.57%E -5.71%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.15%E -2.69%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-06 15:55
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 25.03%EV -13.96%E -4.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.98%EV -12.99%E -7.22%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.99%EV -14.49%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-06 15:50
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -15.21%E -4.47%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -11.05%E -6.01%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -11.82%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-06 15:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%1.4%2026-04-06 15:55