Language:English
Drogheda United v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Drogheda United (Local)
Prediction 49.43%2.02fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%49.43%49.50%50.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.861.871.9257.14%53.84%53.48%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 23.97%4.17fair odd
EV -2.19%
Edge -0.537%
Kelly -0.711%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.10%23.96%23.96%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.754.0828.57%26.49%26.67%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -0.795%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.291%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.05%26.60%26.53%28.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.453.7333.33%29.04%28.99%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 49.43%; Waterford FC (Visit): 23.97%; Draw: 26.60%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.73, with an expected value of -0.795%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.08%EV -5.09%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.57%EV -2.19%E -0.537%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.92%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -5.09%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 17:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 18:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-29 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-29 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -8.42%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 17:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 18:08 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 17:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-29 18:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -9.38%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.05%EV -0.795%E -0.213%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-29 18:37 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-29 18:38 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -16.09%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -20.21%E -6.74%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -10.04%E -5.51%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.50%E -3.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -10.04%E -5.51%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.50%E -3.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -14.90%E -4.20%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -12.01%E -6.75%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-29 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.56%EV -13.50%E -7.71%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -12.50%E -3.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-29 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 18:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 18:40 |