La escuela de los momios

Drogheda United v Waterford FC

Inicio: 2026-05-29 18:45 UTC

Final: Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Predicción 49.43%2.02momio equitativo
EV -5.09%
Ventaja -2.65%
Kelly -5.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.89%49.43%49.50%50.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.751.861.871.9257.14%53.84%53.48%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Waterford FC (Visitante)

Predicción 23.97%4.17momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -0.711%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.10%23.96%23.96%24.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.783.754.0828.57%26.49%26.67%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.60%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.795%
Ventaja -0.213%
Kelly -0.291%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.05%26.60%26.53%28.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.453.7333.33%29.04%28.99%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.08%EV -5.09%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.57%EV -2.19%E -0.537%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.92%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -5.09%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 17:58
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 18:38
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:40
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:39
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 18:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 18:29
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 18:30
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 17:59
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -8.42%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 17:59
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:08
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 17:59
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 18:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 18:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 18:38
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -9.38%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.05%EV -0.795%E -0.213%K -0.291%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 18:29
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 18:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:37
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 18:39
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 18:39
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:29
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 18:19
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 18:38
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 18:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-29 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -16.09%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -20.21%E -6.74%K -10.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-29 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -10.04%E -5.51%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.50%E -3.42%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -10.04%E -5.51%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.50%E -3.42%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -14.90%E -4.20%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-29 18:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-29 18:29
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -12.01%E -6.75%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.56%EV -13.50%E -7.71%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -12.50%E -3.42%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-29 18:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-05-29 18:39
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-05-29 18:40