L’École des cotes

Drogheda United v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 18:45 UTC

Score final : Drogheda United 3–3 Waterford FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Prévision 49.43%2.02cote équitable
EV -5.09%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -5.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.89%49.43%49.50%50.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.861.871.9257.14%53.84%53.48%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.97%4.17cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.537%
Kelly -0.711%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.10%23.96%23.96%24.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.783.754.0828.57%26.49%26.67%24.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.60%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.795%
Avantage -0.213%
Kelly -0.291%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.05%26.60%26.53%28.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.443.453.7333.33%29.04%28.99%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.08%EV -5.09%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.57%EV -2.19%E -0.537%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.35%EV -2.92%E -0.801%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Coolbet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -5.09%E -2.65%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 17:58
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 18:38
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.59%E -2.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:40
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.31%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 18:39
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.25%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 18:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 18:29
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 18:30
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.07%E -3.76%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 17:59
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -8.42%E -2.20%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 17:59
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:08
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 18:00
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 17:59
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.32%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.50%E -1.67%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-29 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-29 18:00
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.90%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 18:29
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -7.56%E -4.05%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 18:38
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.72%EV -9.38%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.05%EV -0.795%E -0.213%K -0.291%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.16%EV -8.06%E -4.33%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-29 18:29
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -5.58%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 18:00
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:37
BetAnything1.85I 54.05%NM 49.58%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -7.70%E -2.00%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 18:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-29 18:39
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-29 18:39
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 18:29
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.33%EV -8.55%E -4.62%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 18:39
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -4.11%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 18:19
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 18:38
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -11.30%E -3.05%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 18:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -10.10%E -2.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -12.23%E -3.71%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-29 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -9.54%E -5.21%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -16.09%E -4.60%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -20.21%E -6.74%K -10.11%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-29 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -10.04%E -5.51%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.50%E -3.42%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.35%EV -10.04%E -5.51%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -12.50%E -3.42%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -8.24%E -2.39%K -3.36%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-29 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.92%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.80%EV -14.90%E -4.20%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.28%EV -10.90%E -3.25%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-29 18:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.48%EV -11.03%E -6.13%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -14.89%E -4.65%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-29 18:29
PMU (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.55%EV -12.01%E -6.75%K -15.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -13.70%E -3.80%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -9.57%E -2.82%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-29 18:00
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.56%EV -13.50%E -7.71%K -18.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -12.50%E -3.42%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.68%EV -13.56%E -4.17%K -6.03%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-29 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-05-29 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-05-29 18:39
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-05-29 18:40