Language:English
Drogheda United v Sligo Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Drogheda United (Local)
Prediction 53.33%1.87fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.02%53.20%53.31%55.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.741.8460.24%57.18%57.47%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sligo Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 20.96%4.77fair odd
EV +0.628%
Edge +0.131%
Kelly +0.165%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.59%21.13%20.95%23.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.224.204.8026.32%23.69%23.81%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV -0.018%
Edge -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.07%25.68%25.74%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.503.8932.26%28.51%28.57%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 53.33%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 20.96%; Draw: 25.70%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.77. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.628%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.131%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.131%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.131%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.29%EV -0.840%E -0.178%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -4.39%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.57%E -0.775%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.62%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.57%E -0.775%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -4.61%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.62%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.08%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 20.85%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.07%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.29%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83%EV -8.81%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.97%EV -9.23%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.62%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -14.05%E -3.43%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.59%EV -15.10%E -3.73%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -10.93%E -6.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -16.14%E -4.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -20.32%E -6.56%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -1.87%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -18.24%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -20.34%E -5.35%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.31% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |