L’École des cotes

Drogheda United v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Score final : Drogheda United 1–0 Sligo Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Prévision 53.33%1.87cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.84

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.02%53.20%53.31%55.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.751.741.8460.24%57.18%57.47%54.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.96%4.77cote équitable
EV +0.628%
Avantage +0.131%
Kelly +0.165%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.59%21.13%20.95%23.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.224.204.8026.32%23.69%23.81%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.70%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.018%
Avantage -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.07%25.68%25.74%27.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.503.8932.26%28.51%28.57%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.131%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.131%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:39
BetAnything1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.131%K +0.165%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:40
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 53.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.29%EV -0.840%E -0.178%K -0.225%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -4.39%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-01 18:35
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.57%E -0.775%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.62%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-01 18:40
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.57%E -0.775%K -0.990%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:38
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -4.61%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 18:39
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.62%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 18:34
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:35
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.08%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.85%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.07%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:40
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:35
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 18:29
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:39
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.29%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83%EV -8.81%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:39
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.39%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.97%EV -9.23%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:28
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:35
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:29
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:29
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 18:35
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.62%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 18:39
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-01 18:30
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-01 18:35
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 18:38
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 18:30
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 18:30
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 18:29
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-01 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -14.05%E -3.43%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.59%EV -15.10%E -3.73%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-01 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -10.93%E -6.55%K -16.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -16.14%E -4.04%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -20.32%E -6.56%K -9.68%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-01 18:40
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -1.87%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:10
Virgin Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:04
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -18.24%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 18:30
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -20.34%E -5.35%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-01 18:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.31%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-01 18:39