La escuela de los momiosDrogheda United v Sligo Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Drogheda United (Local)
Predicción 53.33%1.87momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.84
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.02%53.20%53.31%55.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.751.741.8460.24%57.18%57.47%54.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sligo Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 20.96%4.77momio equitativo
EV +0.628%
Ventaja +0.131%
Kelly +0.165%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.59%21.13%20.95%23.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.224.204.8026.32%23.69%23.81%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.70%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.018%
Ventaja -0.005%
Kelly -0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.07%25.68%25.74%27.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.503.8932.26%28.51%28.57%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.131%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.131%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.66%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.628%E +0.131%K +0.165%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.73I 21.14%NM 20.29%EV -0.840%E -0.178%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.80%EV -4.39%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.28%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -3.57%E -0.775%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -3.62%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -3.57%E -0.775%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.67%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.53%EV -4.61%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.47%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.15%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.62%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 18:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.37%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.66%E -1.26%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.08%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 20.85%EV -5.87%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.07%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.29%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.76%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.29%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.83%EV -8.81%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%EV -8.80%E -5.15%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.97%EV -9.23%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 18:28 |
| BetUS | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.25%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -9.85%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.83%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.90%E -2.57%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.76%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.38%EV -7.73%E -4.47%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -3.62%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.70%EV -7.20%E -4.14%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -7.47%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-01 18:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -9.33%E -5.49%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.82%EV -11.95%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.89%EV -8.27%E -4.81%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -14.05%E -3.43%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -6.19%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-01 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.68%EV -11.47%E -6.91%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.59%EV -15.10%E -3.73%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -10.93%E -6.55%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -16.14%E -4.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -20.32%E -6.56%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Unibet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.02%EV -1.87%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Casumo | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -2.40%E -1.31%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -11.33%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -3.47%E -1.92%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -17.19%E -4.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.37%EV -4.53%E -2.53%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -18.24%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.33%EV -10.40%E -6.19%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.54%EV -18.24%E -4.68%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-01 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -20.34%E -5.35%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -15.18%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-01 18:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.31% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.88% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 18:39 |