Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drogheda United v Shelbourne Dublin

Kickoff: 2026-06-19 18:45 UTC

Final: Drogheda United 2–2 Shelbourne Dublin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drogheda United (Local)

Prediction 24.36%4.10fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.323%
Kelly +0.425%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.12%24.54%24.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.693.654.1629.41%27.12%27.40%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)

Prediction 47.52%2.10fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.94%47.41%47.60%48.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.952.0554.64%51.58%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.452%
Kelly -0.633%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.05%28.10%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.62%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 24.36%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 47.52%; Draw: 28.12%. For Drogheda United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.12%EV +1.34%E +0.323%K +0.425%G +0.006%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.79%EV -6.08%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 18:30
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 18:30
1xBet🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.53%EV -3.28%E -0.827%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 18:41
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:30
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 18:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Everygame🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-19 18:29
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:41
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 18:30
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-19 18:40
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 18:30
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-19 18:40
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 21:00
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 20:59
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 20:59
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 21:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 18:40
Coolbet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.58%E -0.452%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:20
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 18:41
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-15 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-19 18:40
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.09%E -6.54%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-19 18:40
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -13.04%E -7.13%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-19 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -13.04%E -7.13%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.02%E -6.60%K -10.11%G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-19 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-15 20:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-15 21:00
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 15:30
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:21
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -10.66%E -5.67%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-19 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-15 21:00
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 18:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -17.17%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 14:20
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -17.17%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-19 18:21
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-06-19 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-06-19 18:30