L’École des cotes

Drogheda United v Shelbourne Dublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-19 18:45 UTC

Score final : Drogheda United 2–2 Shelbourne Dublin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Prévision 24.36%4.10cote équitable
EV +1.34%
Avantage +0.323%
Kelly +0.425%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.12%24.54%24.30%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.693.654.1629.41%27.12%27.40%24.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shelbourne Dublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.52%2.10cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.94%47.41%47.60%48.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.952.0554.64%51.58%51.28%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.12%3.56cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.452%
Kelly -0.633%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.03%28.05%28.10%29.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.62%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.16I 24.04%NM 23.12%EV +1.34%E +0.323%K +0.425%G +0.006%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.79%EV -6.08%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-19 18:40
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 18:30
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 18:30
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 18:30
1xBet3.97I 25.19%NM 23.53%EV -3.28%E -0.827%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-19 18:41
DraftKings3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 18:30
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-19 18:30
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-19 18:39
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-19 18:30
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-19 18:29
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:40
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:39
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-19 18:41
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-19 18:30
Bovada3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-19 18:40
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 18:30
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-19 18:40
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 21:00
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-15 21:00
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 20:59
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 21:00
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 20:59
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-15 21:00
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 18:40
Coolbet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.58%E -0.452%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-19 14:20
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 18:41
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-19 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-15 21:00
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-19 18:40
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.09%E -6.54%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-19 18:40
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -13.04%E -7.13%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-19 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -13.04%E -7.13%K -15.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.02%E -6.60%K -10.11%G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-19 18:40
LiveScore Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-15 20:59
Virgin Bet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-15 21:00
PlayUp3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-19 15:30
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:21
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:21
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-19 18:20
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -10.66%E -5.67%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-19 18:40
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-15 21:00
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 18:21
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -17.17%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-19 14:20
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -17.17%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-19 18:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-06-19 18:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-06-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60%2.1%2026-06-19 18:30