La escuela de los momiosDrogheda United v Shelbourne Dublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Drogheda United (Local)
Predicción 24.36%4.10momio equitativo
EV +1.34%
Ventaja +0.323%
Kelly +0.425%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.12%24.54%24.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.693.654.1629.41%27.12%27.40%24.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)
Predicción 47.52%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.94%47.41%47.60%48.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.941.952.0554.64%51.58%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.12%3.56momio equitativo
EV -1.58%
Ventaja -0.452%
Kelly -0.633%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%28.05%28.10%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.253.5034.72%30.62%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.12%EV +1.34%E +0.323%K +0.425%G +0.006% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.09%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.79%EV -6.08%E -1.82%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| BetAnything | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -2.55%E -0.638%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.53%EV -3.28%E -0.827%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.16%EV -7.81%E -4.03%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| DraftKings | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -3.77%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.54%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-19 18:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Everygame | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -4.99%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.71%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-19 18:29 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Bovada | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -7.43%E -1.95%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.69%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.64%E -2.31%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -9.71%E -5.11%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.86%E -2.67%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.16%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -6.39%E -3.24%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| Casumo | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 20:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| betPARX | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.86%E -3.50%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 20:59 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.06%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -11.08%E -3.04%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -8.76%E -4.56%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -2.59%E -1.26%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.58%E -0.452%K -0.633%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 14:20 |
| William Hill | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -8.29%E -4.29%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -7.21%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.11%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.09%E -6.54%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -13.04%E -7.13%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.30%E -3.42%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -13.04%E -7.13%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -19.02%E -6.60%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-15 20:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -13.52%E -3.81%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.04%EV -9.24%E -4.84%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-19 15:30 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
| Neds | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-19 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.86%EV -10.66%E -5.67%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-06-19 18:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -14.73%E -4.21%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.99%EV -11.14%E -5.96%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.90%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-06-15 21:00 |
| Bet Right | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -15.95%E -4.62%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -17.17%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.96%E -2.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-19 14:20 |
| betfred_uk | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -17.17%E -5.05%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -7.34%E -3.76%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-19 18:21 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-06-19 18:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.50% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.50% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.50% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.60% | 2.1% | 2026-06-19 18:30 |