Language:English
Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Drogheda United (Local)
Prediction 23.43%4.27fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.378%
Kelly -0.497%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%23.51%23.51%25.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.823.804.2028.17%26.15%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shamrock Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 49.06%2.04fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -4.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.38%48.97%48.99%49.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.881.881.9555.87%53.07%53.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.51%3.64fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.664%
Kelly -0.924%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.83%27.52%27.50%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.323.353.5534.72%30.14%29.85%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 23.43%; Shamrock Rovers (Visit): 49.06%; Draw: 27.51%. For Drogheda United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -1.59%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -1.59%E -0.378%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-16 19:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.98%EV -1.82%E -0.435%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.89%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -2.36%E -0.664%K -0.924%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.30%EV -1.82%E -0.435%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.73%EV -7.31%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 19:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.10%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-16 19:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 19:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 19:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 19:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-16 19:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 19:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.79%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.79%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-16 19:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 19:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.21%E -5.58%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-16 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -11.69%E -6.49%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-16 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-16 19:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -11.69%E -6.49%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -20.78%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-16 16:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.30%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-16 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-16 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.03%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-16 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.58%EV -12.18%E -6.80%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -13.36%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-16 19:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-16 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-16 19:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-16 19:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -16.82%E -4.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.70%E -5.88%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-16 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.2% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.86% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92% | 2.3% | 2026-03-16 19:40 |