La escuela de los momios

Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers

Inicio: 2026-03-16 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Predicción 23.43%4.27momio equitativo
EV -1.59%
Ventaja -0.378%
Kelly -0.497%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%23.51%23.51%25.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.823.804.2028.17%26.15%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shamrock Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 49.06%2.04momio equitativo
EV -4.33%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -4.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.38%48.97%48.99%49.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.881.881.9555.87%53.07%53.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.51%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.664%
Kelly -0.924%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.83%27.52%27.50%29.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.323.353.5534.72%30.14%29.85%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -1.59%E -0.378%K -0.497%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:24
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.98%EV -1.82%E -0.435%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.89%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -2.36%E -0.664%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 19:35
1xBet4.19I 23.87%NM 22.30%EV -1.82%E -0.435%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.73%EV -7.31%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 19:40
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 19:35
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 19:35
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 19:28
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:35
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.10%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 19:35
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 19:30
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:39
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:40
BetAnything3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 19:30
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:30
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:30
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 19:25
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:34
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 19:34
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.79%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 19:35
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.79%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 19:34
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:30
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.21%E -5.58%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-16 19:30
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -11.69%E -6.49%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-16 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -11.69%E -6.49%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -20.78%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-16 16:04
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.30%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 19:30
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:10
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.03%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 19:10
Unibet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.58%EV -12.18%E -6.80%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -13.36%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-16 19:34
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-16 19:10
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-16 19:14
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-16 19:20
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -16.82%E -4.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.70%E -5.88%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92%2.3%2026-03-16 19:40