L’École des cotes

Drogheda United v Shamrock Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-16 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Prévision 23.43%4.27cote équitable
EV -1.59%
Avantage -0.378%
Kelly -0.497%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%23.51%23.51%25.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.823.804.2028.17%26.15%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shamrock Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.06%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.33%
Avantage -2.22%
Kelly -4.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.38%48.97%48.99%49.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.881.881.9555.87%53.07%53.05%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.51%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.664%
Kelly -0.924%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.83%27.52%27.50%29.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.323.353.5534.72%30.14%29.85%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -1.59%E -0.378%K -0.497%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -4.33%E -2.22%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-16 19:24
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.98%EV -1.82%E -0.435%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.89%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.13%EV -2.36%E -0.664%K -0.924%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-16 19:35
1xBet4.19I 23.87%NM 22.30%EV -1.82%E -0.435%K -0.572%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.73%EV -7.31%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-16 19:40
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 19:35
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-16 19:35
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-16 19:28
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -3.93%E -0.959%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-16 19:35
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -5.10%E -1.26%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -5.93%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 19:35
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.73%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-16 19:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 19:30
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:39
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:40
BetAnything3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:40
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.55%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-16 19:30
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:30
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.80%E -3.02%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-16 19:30
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -6.29%E -3.29%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-16 19:25
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.27%EV -6.78%E -3.57%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-16 19:25
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -8.25%E -4.41%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-16 19:34
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 19:34
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.79%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 19:35
Everygame3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -9.79%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-16 19:34
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-16 19:30
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.21%E -5.58%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-16 19:30
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.96%E -2.88%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.68%EV -11.69%E -6.49%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-16 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Neds3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -11.98%E -3.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-16 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.80%EV -12.13%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.51%EV -11.69%E -6.49%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.69%EV -20.78%E -7.22%K -11.06%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-16 16:04
Winamax (DE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -13.30%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.52%EV -7.76%E -4.13%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-16 19:30
TABtouch3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
LeoVegas3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Grosvenor3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Casumo3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:10
Unibet (NL)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
Svenska Spel3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
betPARX3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -5.31%E -2.75%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.48%E -1.91%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-16 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.03%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -7.86%E -2.35%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-16 19:10
Unibet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.58%EV -12.18%E -6.80%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.60%EV -13.36%E -4.24%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-16 19:34
Virgin Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-16 19:10
LiveScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.67%EV -7.27%E -3.85%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.23%E -2.80%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-16 19:14
Parions Sport (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -9.23%E -4.99%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -14.73%E -4.75%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-16 19:20
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -16.82%E -4.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.25%EV -10.70%E -5.88%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.02%EV -10.61%E -3.26%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-16 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.18%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-03-16 19:40
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92%2.3%2026-03-16 19:40