Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drogheda United v Galway United

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Drogheda United (Local)

Prediction 41.95%2.38fair odd
EV +0.690%
Edge +0.288%
Kelly +0.493%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.26%41.81%41.76%43.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.202.4048.78%44.39%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Galway United (Visit)

Prediction 27.11%3.69fair odd
EV +2.21%
Edge +0.586%
Kelly +0.797%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.52%27.28%27.33%30.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.243.203.7735.09%30.89%31.25%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.93%3.23fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.811%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.15%30.91%30.90%32.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.983.1536.36%33.86%33.56%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 41.95%; Galway United (Visit): 27.11%; Draw: 30.93%. For Galway United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.69. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.21%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34%EV -6.86%E -3.09%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.52%EV +2.21%E +0.586%K +0.797%G +0.018%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.15%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -1.05%E -0.286%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.15%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -1.05%E -0.286%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:35
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.40%E -0.667%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 15:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.40%E -0.667%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:34
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.90%EV -8.54%E -3.92%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -8.12%E -2.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:50
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -2.56%E -0.811%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 15:38
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:54
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:35
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:40
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:14
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 15:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.84%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 15:20
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.99%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -14.93%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:35
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -11.90%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -14.60%E -4.64%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 15:15
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.90%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -14.93%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -0.149%E -0.063%K -0.108%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -20.02%E -6.79%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -1.41%E -0.599%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -20.02%E -6.79%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 15:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -1.41%E -0.599%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -20.02%E -6.79%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.46%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -22.73%E -7.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -11.84%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55