L’École des cotes

Drogheda United v Galway United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Drogheda United (Local)

Prévision 41.95%2.38cote équitable
EV +0.690%
Avantage +0.288%
Kelly +0.493%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.26%41.81%41.76%43.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.252.202.4048.78%44.39%45.45%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galway United (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.11%3.69cote équitable
EV +2.21%
Avantage +0.586%
Kelly +0.797%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.52%27.28%27.33%30.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.243.203.7735.09%30.89%31.25%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.93%3.23cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.811%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%30.91%30.90%32.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.952.983.1536.36%33.86%33.56%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34%EV -6.86%E -3.09%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.52%EV +2.21%E +0.586%K +0.797%G +0.018%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 15:50
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.15%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -1.05%E -0.286%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:35
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 42.15%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -1.05%E -0.286%K -0.395%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 15:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.40%E -0.667%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 15:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.40%E -0.667%K -0.923%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 15:34
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.90%EV -8.54%E -3.92%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 15:50
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -8.12%E -2.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -2.56%E -0.811%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 15:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:54
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 15:35
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 15:38
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:54
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:54
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 15:35
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:35
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 15:35
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 15:35
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:40
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:14
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 15:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.84%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 15:20
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.99%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -14.93%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-06 15:35
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:35
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -11.90%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -14.60%E -4.64%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-06 15:35
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 15:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 15:15
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.90%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -14.93%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 15:35
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -0.149%E -0.063%K -0.108%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -20.02%E -6.79%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 15:30
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -1.41%E -0.599%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -20.02%E -6.79%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 15:29
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -1.41%E -0.599%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -20.02%E -6.79%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 15:30
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.46%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -22.73%E -7.98%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -11.84%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%0.8%2026-04-06 15:55