La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Drogheda United v Galway United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Drogheda United (Local)
Predicción 41.95%2.38momio equitativo
EV +0.690%
Ventaja +0.288%
Kelly +0.493%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.26%41.81%41.76%43.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.252.202.4048.78%44.39%45.45%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Galway United (Visitante)
Predicción 27.11%3.69momio equitativo
EV +2.21%
Ventaja +0.586%
Kelly +0.797%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.52%27.28%27.33%30.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.243.203.7735.09%30.89%31.25%26.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.93%3.23momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.811%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%30.91%30.90%32.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.952.983.1536.36%33.86%33.56%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.34%EV -6.86%E -3.09%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.52%EV +2.21%E +0.586%K +0.797%G +0.018% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -4.41%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.15%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -1.05%E -0.286%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.15%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -1.05%E -0.286%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.51%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.40%E -0.667%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -5.65%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.40%E -0.667%K -0.923%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 15:34 |
| 1xBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.90%EV -8.54%E -3.92%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.76%EV -5.96%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.36%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.25%EV -3.76%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.38%EV -8.12%E -2.74%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -2.56%E -0.811%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 15:38 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| BetAnything | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.80%E -4.56%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.11%EV -7.81%E -2.62%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:40 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:14 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -5.60%E -2.49%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.84%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -13.99%E -6.83%K -13.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -10.53%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -14.93%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.25%E -4.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -11.90%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -14.60%E -4.64%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.38%E -4.78%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.70%E -3.50%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -11.90%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.97%EV -11.90%E -5.66%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.75%EV -15.96%E -5.15%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.28%EV -14.93%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| betPARX | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +0.690%E +0.288%K +0.493%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -18.67%E -6.22%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -0.149%E -0.063%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -20.02%E -6.79%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.74%E -2.96%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -1.41%E -0.599%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -20.02%E -6.79%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -1.41%E -0.599%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -20.02%E -6.79%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -10.29%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.46%EV -4.34%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -22.73%E -7.98%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -11.84%E -4.15%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |