Language:English
Drogheda United v Dundalk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Drogheda United (Local)
Prediction 33.04%3.03fair odd
EV +0.777%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.379%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.63%32.83%33.11%34.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.842.803.0537.74%35.24%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundalk (Visit)
Prediction 39.01%2.56fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.76%39.19%38.94%41.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.302.302.4948.78%43.39%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.94%3.58fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -0.878%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.12%27.98%27.95%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.263.253.5032.79%30.65%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Drogheda United (Local): 33.04%; Dundalk (Visit): 39.01%; Draw: 27.94%. For Drogheda United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.777%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -2.53%E -0.857%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.20%E -0.627%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.73%EV -16.51%E -7.71%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -4.84%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.28%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.28%EV -10.86%E -3.40%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69%EV -4.84%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.69%EV -17.29%E -8.16%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.67%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.85%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -2.75%E -0.792%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -5.83%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -5.83%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -18.07%E -8.60%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -5.83%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -18.07%E -8.60%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -6.49%E -2.29%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.93%E -3.36%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -5.55%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.36%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.56%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-28 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -8.14%E -2.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -8.14%E -2.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -8.14%E -2.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -5.59%E -2.31%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -5.59%E -2.31%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.97%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.55%EV -20.02%E -9.77%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -12.44%E -4.69%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 2.4% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.18% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |