Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Drogheda United v Dundalk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-28 19:01 UTC

Score final : Drogheda United 2–3 Dundalk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Drogheda United (Local)

Prévision 33.04%3.03cote équitable
EV +0.777%
Avantage +0.255%
Kelly +0.379%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.63%32.83%33.11%34.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.652.842.803.0537.74%35.24%35.71%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dundalk (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.01%2.56cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.76%39.19%38.94%41.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.302.302.4948.78%43.39%43.48%40.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.94%3.58cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.627%
Kelly -0.878%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.12%27.98%27.95%29.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.263.253.5032.79%30.65%30.77%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Drogheda United (Local) : 33.04% ; Dundalk (Visiteur) : 39.01% ; Match nul : 27.94%. Pour Drogheda United (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.03. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.05, soit une espérance positive de +0.777%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:30
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:30
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:30
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:30
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-28 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -2.53%E -0.857%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 18:59
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.20%E -0.627%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 18:40
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.73%EV -16.51%E -7.71%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 18:30
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -4.84%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.28%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.28%EV -10.86%E -3.40%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69%EV -4.84%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.69%EV -17.29%E -8.16%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-28 18:30
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.67%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.85%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -2.75%E -0.792%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 18:50
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -5.83%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -5.83%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -18.07%E -8.60%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-28 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -5.83%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -18.07%E -8.60%K -16.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-28 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -6.49%E -2.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.93%E -3.36%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -5.55%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.36%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.56%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 19:00
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-28 18:55
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-28 18:49
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-28 18:40
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-28 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-28 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -8.14%E -2.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 18:59
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -8.14%E -2.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 18:59
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -8.14%E -2.93%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-28 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -5.59%E -2.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 18:55
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -5.59%E -2.31%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-28 18:55
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 18:55
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 19:00
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 18:35
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 18:40
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-28 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.97%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.55%EV -20.02%E -9.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%17.4%2026-08-28 18:30
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 19:00
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-28 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-28 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-28 19:00
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -12.44%E -4.69%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-28 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47%1.1%2026-08-28 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%1.5%2026-08-28 19:00
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.01%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-08-28 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.18%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%2.9%2026-08-28 19:00