Idioma:Español
Drogheda United v Dundalk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Drogheda United (Local)
Predicción 33.04%3.03momio equitativo
EV +0.777%
Ventaja +0.255%
Kelly +0.379%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.63%32.83%33.11%34.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.842.803.0537.74%35.24%35.71%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Dundalk (Visitante)
Predicción 39.01%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.76%39.19%38.94%41.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.302.302.4948.78%43.39%43.48%40.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.94%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.627%
Kelly -0.878%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.12%27.98%27.95%29.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.263.253.5032.79%30.65%30.77%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Drogheda United (Local): 33.04%; Dundalk (Visitante): 39.01%; Empate: 27.94%. Para Drogheda United (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.03. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.05, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.777%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV +0.777%E +0.255%K +0.379%G +0.003% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -13.00%E -5.83%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -2.53%E -0.857%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.20%E -0.627%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -4.18%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.73%EV -16.51%E -7.71%K -14.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -4.84%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.28%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.28%EV -10.86%E -3.40%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69%EV -4.84%E -1.68%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.69%EV -17.29%E -8.16%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.67%EV -5.50%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -2.85%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -2.75%E -0.792%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -5.83%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -5.83%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -18.07%E -8.60%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -5.83%E -2.05%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -18.07%E -8.60%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -6.49%E -2.29%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -7.93%E -3.36%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -5.55%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.36%EV -6.82%E -2.42%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.56%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -4.41%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-28 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.48%E -2.67%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -8.14%E -2.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -8.14%E -2.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.95%EV -8.14%E -2.93%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -3.59%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -5.59%E -2.31%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.76%EV -5.59%E -2.31%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -11.98%E -3.80%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.32%E -3.54%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.37%E -2.65%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.18%E -2.83%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.97%EV -9.14%E -3.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.55%EV -20.02%E -9.77%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.48%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.74%EV -7.15%E -3.00%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.55%EV -10.27%E -4.46%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -10.79%E -4.00%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.82%EV -12.44%E -4.69%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -12.22%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.52%EV -14.77%E -4.84%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.47% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.08% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 2.4% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.18% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-08-28 19:00 |