Language:English
Derry City v Shelbourne Dublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Derry City (Local)
Prediction 35.36%2.83fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.740%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.54%35.49%35.32%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.532.502.7743.10%39.51%40.00%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shelbourne Dublin (Visit)
Prediction 33.96%2.94fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.525%
Kelly -0.801%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.80%33.79%34.02%34.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.37%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.68%3.26fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.55%30.72%30.66%31.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.51%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derry City (Local): 35.36%; Shelbourne Dublin (Visit): 33.96%; Draw: 30.68%. For Shelbourne Dublin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.90, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -2.05%E -0.740%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.52%EV -2.54%E -0.885%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -7.04%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.60%EV -3.82%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.79%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.60%EV -3.82%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.79%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.60%EV -3.82%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.79%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -7.29%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -5.50%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.08%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.29%EV -8.99%E -3.36%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.08%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.29%EV -8.99%E -3.36%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.76%EV -7.71%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -5.50%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.56%E -4.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.56%E -4.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.83%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.83%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.83%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.09%E -5.03%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -15.63%E -5.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -2.20%E -0.764%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -15.13%E -6.31%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -15.13%E -6.31%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -15.13%E -6.31%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -10.69%E -4.06%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -17.16%E -6.36%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.84%E -6.66%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.84%E -6.66%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.02%EV -17.96%E -7.74%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.08%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.90%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |