L’École des cotes

Derry City v Shelbourne Dublin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 18:45 UTC

Score final : Derry City 0–0 Shelbourne Dublin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Derry City (Local)

Prévision 35.36%2.83cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.740%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.54%35.49%35.32%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.532.502.7743.10%39.51%40.00%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shelbourne Dublin (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.96%2.94cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.525%
Kelly -0.801%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.80%33.79%34.02%34.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.37%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.68%3.26cote équitable
EV -4.89%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.55%30.72%30.66%31.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.51%33.33%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -2.05%E -0.740%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.52%EV -2.54%E -0.885%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -7.04%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.60%EV -3.82%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.79%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:20
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.60%EV -3.82%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.79%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:20
BetAnything2.72I 36.76%NM 34.60%EV -3.82%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.79%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 18:20
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 18:19
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 18:00
Marathon Bet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -7.29%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -5.50%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 18:40
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 18:20
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.08%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.29%EV -8.99%E -3.36%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:10
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.08%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.29%EV -8.99%E -3.36%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:10
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 18:00
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.76%EV -7.71%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -5.50%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 18:20
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:20
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:20
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:18
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:20
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:20
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.56%E -4.41%K -6.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-25 18:20
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.56%E -4.41%K -6.79%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-25 18:10
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-25 18:20
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.83%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 18:20
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.83%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-25 18:10
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.83%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 18:10
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 18:20
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 16:10
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 16:10
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.09%E -5.03%K -7.83%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-25 18:20
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-25 18:10
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -15.63%E -5.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-25 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 11:59
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 11:59
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 12:00
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 11:59
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 12:00
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 12:00
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 11:59
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 12:00
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 11:59
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -2.20%E -0.764%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -15.13%E -6.31%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 12:00
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -15.13%E -6.31%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-25 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -15.13%E -6.31%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -10.69%E -4.06%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -17.16%E -6.36%K -10.10%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-25 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.84%E -6.66%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 17:59
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.84%E -6.66%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 18:00
PMU (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.02%EV -17.96%E -7.74%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.08%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.90%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-25 17:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-05-25 18:40
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-05-25 18:30