La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Derry City v Shelbourne Dublin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Derry City (Local)
Predicción 35.36%2.83momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.740%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.54%35.49%35.32%38.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.322.532.502.7743.10%39.51%40.00%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shelbourne Dublin (Visitante)
Predicción 33.96%2.94momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.525%
Kelly -0.801%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.80%33.79%34.02%34.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.752.752.9040.00%36.37%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.68%3.26momio equitativo
EV -4.89%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.55%30.72%30.66%31.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.51%33.33%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -2.05%E -0.740%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.52%EV -2.54%E -0.885%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%EV -7.04%E -2.32%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.60%EV -3.82%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.79%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.60%EV -3.82%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.79%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| BetAnything | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.60%EV -3.82%E -1.40%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.61%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.79%EV -9.18%E -3.10%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.27%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.72%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 18:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -4.53%E -1.68%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.15%EV -7.29%E -2.67%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -5.50%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.17%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.08%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.29%EV -8.99%E -3.36%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.08%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.29%EV -8.99%E -3.36%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.35%E -2.81%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.76%EV -7.71%E -2.95%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.30%EV -5.50%E -1.79%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Bovada | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:18 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| BetUS | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.56%E -4.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -12.56%E -4.41%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| betfred_uk | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -8.06%E -3.10%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.18%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -9.83%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.83%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.01%E -3.78%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.83%E -3.85%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.82%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -11.64%E -4.04%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-25 16:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.60%E -4.64%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -8.31%E -3.08%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -14.09%E -5.03%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.89%E -1.58%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -15.10%E -6.04%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -13.37%E -5.46%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -11.03%E -4.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -15.63%E -5.68%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -1.52%E -0.525%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.87%EV -14.07%E -5.79%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -2.20%E -0.764%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -6.42%E -2.11%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -15.13%E -6.31%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -3.22%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -15.13%E -6.31%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -11.71%E -4.50%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -11.03%E -3.80%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.70%EV -15.13%E -6.31%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.57%EV -10.69%E -4.06%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.73%EV -17.16%E -6.36%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-25 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.84%E -6.66%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -15.84%E -6.66%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -4.92%E -1.76%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.96%E -2.65%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-25 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.02%EV -17.96%E -7.74%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.08%EV -6.61%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.90%EV -9.49%E -3.22%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-25 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.43% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.25% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |