Language:English
Derry City v Galway United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Derry City (Local)
Prediction 58.55%1.71fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.742%
Kelly +1.76%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.89%58.49%58.64%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.591.581.7368.49%62.91%63.29%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Galway United (Visit)
Prediction 18.86%5.30fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.459%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.67%18.82%18.78%22.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.784.805.2023.81%20.91%20.83%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.59%4.43fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.237%
Kelly -0.307%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.85%22.68%22.57%24.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.943.904.3827.78%25.36%25.64%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derry City (Local): 58.55%; Galway United (Visit): 18.86%; Draw: 22.59%. For Derry City (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV +1.28%E +0.742%K +1.76%G +0.023% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -20.79%E -4.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 20:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -3.99%E -2.43%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.69%EV -3.44%E -0.671%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.85%EV -1.04%E -0.237%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 13:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -2.84%E -0.661%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-18 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.48%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.02%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 12:06 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 13:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 13:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.44%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-18 12:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-18 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.66%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.66%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -3.81%E -0.747%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.36%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-18 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 12:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.36%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.55%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -15.13%E -3.36%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -16.40%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -9.84%E -6.39%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -10.43%E -6.81%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -11.01%E -7.24%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -1.93%E -0.370%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.49%EV -11.01%E -7.24%K -21.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.61%EV -11.60%E -7.68%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.65%EV -17.96%E -4.13%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.74%EV -18.66%E -5.18%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 58.47%EV -14.52%E -9.95%K -31.57%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.76%EV -14.19%E -3.12%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-09-18 12:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 13:45 |