赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Derry City v Galway United

开赛时间： 2026-09-18 18:45 UTC

最终结果： Derry City 1–0 Galway United

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Derry City (主队)

预测 58.55%1.71公平赔率
EV +1.28%
优势 +0.742%
Kelly +1.76%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布
53.89%58.49%58.64%60.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.461.591.581.7368.49%62.91%63.29%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

Galway United (客队)

预测 18.86%5.30公平赔率
EV -1.93%
优势 -0.370%
Kelly -0.459%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.20

博彩公司预测分布
17.67%18.82%18.78%22.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.784.805.2023.81%20.91%20.83%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.59%4.43公平赔率
EV -1.04%
优势 -0.237%
Kelly -0.307%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.38

博彩公司预测分布
21.85%22.68%22.57%24.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.943.904.3827.78%25.36%25.64%22.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Derry City (主队)：58.55%；Galway United (客队)：18.86%；平局：22.59%。 对于“Derry City (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.71。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.73，对应+1.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV +1.28%E +0.742%K +1.76%G +0.023%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -20.79%E -4.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 20:25
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -3.99%E -2.43%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.69%EV -3.44%E -0.671%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.85%EV -1.04%E -0.237%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -2.84%E -0.661%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:05
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.48%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.02%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:06
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 12:30
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:25
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.44%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 12:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 12:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 12:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.66%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.66%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:04
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -3.81%E -0.747%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.36%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 12:04
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 11:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 12:30
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 12:19
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 12:04
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.36%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.55%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -15.13%E -3.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -16.40%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -9.84%E -6.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -10.43%E -6.81%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -11.01%E -7.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -1.93%E -0.370%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:05
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.49%EV -11.01%E -7.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.61%EV -11.60%E -7.68%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.65%EV -17.96%E -4.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.74%EV -18.66%E -5.18%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-18 12:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 58.47%EV -14.52%E -9.95%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.76%EV -14.19%E -3.12%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 12:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 13:45
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 13:45