L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Derry City v Galway United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 18:45 UTC

Score final : Derry City 1–0 Galway United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Derry City (Local)

Prévision 58.55%1.71cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.742%
Kelly +1.76%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.89%58.49%58.64%60.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.461.591.581.7368.49%62.91%63.29%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Galway United (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.86%5.30cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.370%
Kelly -0.459%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.67%18.82%18.78%22.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.784.805.2023.81%20.91%20.83%19.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.59%4.43cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.237%
Kelly -0.307%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.85%22.68%22.57%24.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.943.904.3827.78%25.36%25.64%22.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Derry City (Local) : 58.55% ; Galway United (Visiteur) : 18.86% ; Match nul : 22.59%. Pour Derry City (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.71. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.73, soit une espérance positive de +1.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.89%EV +1.28%E +0.742%K +1.76%G +0.023%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -20.79%E -4.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-14 20:25
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -3.40%E -2.06%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -3.99%E -2.43%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 15:05
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.69%EV -3.44%E -0.671%K -0.834%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.85%EV -1.04%E -0.237%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 13:30
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.95%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -2.84%E -0.661%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -5.74%E -3.57%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 15:05
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.48%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 18.98%EV -7.02%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:06
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.41%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 15:05
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -6.33%E -3.95%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 12:30
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.85%EV -6.91%E -4.35%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:25
BetAnything🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.94%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.44%EV -6.23%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 12:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 12:15
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.72%EV -7.58%E -1.55%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.75%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 12:15
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.66%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.66%EV -7.50%E -4.75%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:04
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -3.81%E -0.747%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -7.36%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 12:04
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 13:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.70%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 11:54
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 12:30
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.01%E -3.38%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 12:19
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -9.47%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 12:04
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:05
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -8.08%E -5.15%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.36%E -2.42%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.36%E -1.80%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.55%EV -8.67%E -5.56%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -15.13%E -3.36%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.84%EV -16.40%E -4.43%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -9.84%E -6.39%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.62%E -2.41%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 12:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.63%EV -10.43%E -6.81%K -19.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -13.24%E -2.88%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.20%EV -14.14%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -11.01%E -7.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -1.93%E -0.370%K -0.459%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.10%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:05
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.49%EV -11.01%E -7.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -10.41%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.88%E -3.05%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 56.61%EV -11.60%E -7.68%K -22.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.65%EV -17.96%E -4.13%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.74%EV -18.66%E -5.18%K -7.18%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-18 12:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 58.47%EV -14.52%E -9.95%K -31.57%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 18.76%EV -14.19%E -3.12%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%EV -15.27%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-18 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 13:45
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-09-18 13:45