Language:English
Derry City v Bohemians
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Derry City (Local)
Prediction 33.83%2.96fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -0.999%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.93%33.79%33.83%35.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.752.752.9039.22%36.38%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bohemians (Visit)
Prediction 35.83%2.79fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.398%
Kelly -0.624%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.07%35.93%35.80%38.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.7643.48%39.80%40.00%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.34%3.30fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -0.623%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.18%30.27%30.37%32.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.033.053.2538.02%32.95%32.79%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Derry City (Local): 33.83%; Bohemians (Visit): 35.83%; Draw: 30.34%. For Bohemians (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.76, with an expected value of -1.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 18:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 18:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -2.57%E -0.894%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-10 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -14.72%E -6.18%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-10 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -4.27%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.85%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-10 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-10 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -7.55%E -2.93%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -7.55%E -2.93%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 18:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-12 18:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -17.58%E -7.64%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-06-10 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -7.31%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.91%EV -4.32%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-12 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.12%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-12 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -9.34%E -3.49%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -1.10%E -0.398%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -9.34%E -3.49%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -1.10%E -0.398%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -9.34%E -3.49%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -1.10%E -0.398%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -10.02%E -3.77%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -4.68%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.62%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.03%E -4.19%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-12 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -12.05%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -20.21%E -7.68%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-06-12 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -13.74%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-12 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.63%EV -13.74%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.74%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.63%EV -15.05%E -5.38%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-06-12 18:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33% | 1.5% | 2026-06-12 18:40 |