La scuola delle quote

Derry City v Bohemians

Inizio: 2026-06-12 18:45 UTC

Finale: Derry City 4–1 Bohemians

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Derry City (Casa)

Previsione 33.83%2.96quota equa
EV -1.90%
Vantaggio -0.654%
Kelly -0.999%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.93%33.79%33.83%35.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.752.752.9039.22%36.38%36.36%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bohemians (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.83%2.79quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.398%
Kelly -0.624%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.07%35.93%35.80%38.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.512.502.7643.48%39.80%40.00%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.34%3.30quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.431%
Kelly -0.623%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.18%30.27%30.37%32.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.633.033.053.2538.02%32.95%32.79%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 18:59
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 18:59
LeoVegas2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 18:59
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 18:59
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 19:00
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 19:00
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 19:00
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 19:00
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.14%EV -12.92%E -5.32%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 19:00
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -2.57%E -0.894%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.23%EV -14.72%E -6.18%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-10 19:00
Pinnacle2.83I 35.34%NM 34.01%EV -4.27%E -1.51%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.13%EV -1.82%E -0.663%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.85%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 18:30
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 18:29
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-10 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.13%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-10 19:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -7.55%E -2.93%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 18:30
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -5.96%E -2.14%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.05%EV -7.55%E -2.93%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 18:29
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.25%E -1.20%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 18:40
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 18:30
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 18:38
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.62%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-12 18:30
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-12 18:28
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-12 18:20
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -6.97%E -2.54%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -17.58%E -7.64%K -13.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-10 18:59
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.02%EV -7.31%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.91%EV -4.32%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-12 18:40
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -5.04%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-12 18:40
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:30
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-12 18:39
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-12 18:30
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.77%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -6.12%E -2.33%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-12 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-12 18:20
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-12 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-12 18:20
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -12.21%E -4.98%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-12 18:30
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -9.34%E -3.49%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -1.10%E -0.398%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 18:40
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -9.34%E -3.49%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -1.10%E -0.398%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 18:40
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 35.09%EV -9.34%E -3.49%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.07%EV -1.10%E -0.398%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 18:40
1xBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -10.02%E -3.77%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%EV -4.68%E -1.76%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.75%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 18:40
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-12 18:29
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-12 18:29
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.62%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-12 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.31%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-12 18:30
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -11.03%E -4.19%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -12.02%E -4.14%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-12 18:40
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-12 18:29
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-12 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -12.05%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.34%EV -10.42%E -4.17%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -20.21%E -7.68%K -12.40%G +0.000%16.5%2026-06-12 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.33%EV -13.74%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-12 18:30
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 33.63%EV -13.74%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.74%EV -14.00%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.63%EV -15.05%E -5.38%K -8.36%G +0.000%16.6%2026-06-12 18:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40%1.2%2026-06-12 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.22%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.45%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.5%2026-06-12 18:40