Language:English
Bohemians v Waterford FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bohemians (Local)
Prediction 74.18%1.35fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -11.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.75%74.04%74.05%76.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.261.251.3084.75%79.60%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Waterford FC (Visit)
Prediction 9.02%11.09fair odd
EV +8.19%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +0.744%
Growth +0.061%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.75%9.10%9.15%10.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.619.7812.0012.50%10.41%10.23%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.81%5.95fair odd
EV +0.836%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.167%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.96%16.85%16.79%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.255.156.0022.22%19.04%19.42%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 74.18%; Waterford FC (Visit): 9.02%; Draw: 16.81%. For Waterford FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.09. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.19%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +8.19%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.061% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.37%E -0.585%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.40%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +8.19%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.061% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.79%EV -11.43%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +8.19%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.061% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -2.53%E -0.435%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 11.12I 8.99%NM 8.55%EV +0.255%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.96%EV +0.163%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.17%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -4.21%E -0.738%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.13%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.13%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.99%E -9.16%K -54.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.89%EV -5.05%E -3.95%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -5.33%E -0.508%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV +0.836%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.89%EV -5.05%E -3.95%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -5.33%E -0.508%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV +0.836%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.68%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -5.33%E -0.508%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.37%E -0.585%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -10.93%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.88%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 15:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.88%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.88%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.83%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.86%EV -12.47%E -10.57%K -69.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.71%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.12%EV -10.99%E -9.16%K -54.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.65%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -24.37%E -5.42%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.81%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.65%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.81%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.65%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.88%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.49%EV -12.10%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 15:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -14.35%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.78%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -4.21%E -0.738%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.27%EV -11.73%E -9.86%K -61.73%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.00%EV -22.46%E -2.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.73%EV -18.49%E -3.81%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.05%E -3.95%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.99%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -17.65%E -3.60%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.99%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -17.65%E -3.60%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -27.87%E -3.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -19.33%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.26%EV -10.24%E -8.47%K -48.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -27.87%E -3.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -12.61%E -2.42%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.10% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.10% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.10% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |