L’École des cotes

Bohemians v Waterford FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Prévision 74.18%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -2.74%
Kelly -11.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.75%74.04%74.05%76.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.261.251.3084.75%79.60%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Waterford FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.02%11.09cote équitable
EV +8.19%
Avantage +0.682%
Kelly +0.744%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.75%9.10%9.15%10.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.009.619.7812.0012.50%10.41%10.23%8.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.81%5.95cote équitable
EV +0.836%
Avantage +0.139%
Kelly +0.167%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.96%16.85%16.79%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.255.156.0022.22%19.04%19.42%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +8.19%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.061%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.37%E -0.585%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:19
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.40%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +8.19%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.061%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.79%EV -11.43%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 15:50
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.19%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +8.19%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.061%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -2.53%E -0.435%K -0.526%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 15:00
Pinnacle1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000%11.12I 8.99%NM 8.55%EV +0.255%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 15.96%EV +0.163%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 15:50
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.17%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -4.21%E -0.738%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 15:54
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.13%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 15:20
Bet Right1.24I 80.65%NM 74.13%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 15:20
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 15:55
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.99%E -9.16%K -54.93%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 15:00
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.89%EV -5.05%E -3.95%K -18.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -5.33%E -0.508%K -0.562%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV +0.836%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-06 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.89%EV -5.05%E -3.95%K -18.04%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -5.33%E -0.508%K -0.562%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV +0.836%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-06 15:00
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 74.68%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -5.33%E -0.508%K -0.562%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.37%E -0.585%K -0.709%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 15:15
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -10.93%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 15:45
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 15:04
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 73.88%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:14
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 73.88%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 73.88%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 15:30
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 15:00
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 73.83%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 15:15
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 73.86%EV -12.47%E -10.57%K -69.28%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.71%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-06 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.12%EV -10.99%E -9.16%K -54.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.65%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -24.37%E -5.42%K -6.96%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-06 15:00
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.81%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.65%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 15:15
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 73.81%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.65%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 15:20
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 72.88%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.46%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.49%EV -12.10%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 15:48
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.19%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -14.35%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-06 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.78%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -4.21%E -0.738%K -0.895%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 15:15
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:29
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 72.27%EV -11.73%E -9.86%K -61.73%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.00%EV -22.46%E -2.61%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.73%EV -18.49%E -3.81%K -4.80%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-06 15:35
Casumo1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:05
Unibet (NL)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:15
TABtouch1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:05
Unibet (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:05
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:05
Unibet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:15
Grosvenor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:15
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:05
betPARX1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:20
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 15:05
BetRivers1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.05%E -3.95%K -18.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 14:20
Virgin Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.99%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -17.65%E -3.60%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 70.99%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.46%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -17.65%E -3.60%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 15:15
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -27.87%E -3.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -19.33%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-06 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.26%EV -10.24%E -8.47%K -48.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -27.87%E -3.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -12.61%E -2.42%K -3.00%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.10%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.5%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.10%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.5%2026-04-06 15:55
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.10%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.5%2026-04-06 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00%0.8%2026-04-06 15:45