La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bohemians v Waterford FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bohemians (Local)
Predicción 74.18%1.35momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -2.74%
Kelly -11.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.75%74.04%74.05%76.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.261.251.3084.75%79.60%80.00%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Waterford FC (Visitante)
Predicción 9.02%11.09momio equitativo
EV +8.19%
Ventaja +0.682%
Kelly +0.744%
Crecimiento +0.061%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.75%9.10%9.15%10.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.009.619.7812.0012.50%10.41%10.23%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 16.81%5.95momio equitativo
EV +0.836%
Ventaja +0.139%
Kelly +0.167%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.96%16.85%16.79%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.255.156.0022.22%19.04%19.42%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.52%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +8.19%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.061% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.37%E -0.585%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.40%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +8.19%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.061% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.79%EV -11.43%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.22%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.19%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +8.19%E +0.682%K +0.744%G +0.061% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.03%EV -2.53%E -0.435%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 11.12I 8.99%NM 8.55%EV +0.255%E +0.023%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 5.96I 16.78%NM 15.96%EV +0.163%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.17%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.47%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -4.21%E -0.738%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.13%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.13%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.34%EV -10.99%E -9.16%K -54.93%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.22%EV -0.827%E -0.075%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.89%EV -5.05%E -3.95%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -5.33%E -0.508%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV +0.836%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.89%EV -5.05%E -3.95%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.13%EV -5.33%E -0.508%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.98%EV +0.836%E +0.139%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.68%EV -6.54%E -5.19%K -25.14%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.96%EV -5.33%E -0.508%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -3.37%E -0.585%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.48%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.33%EV -10.93%E -2.06%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.36%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 15:04 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.88%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 15:14 |
| BetUS | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.88%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.88%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -9.25%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.83%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.01%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.16%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.86%EV -12.47%E -10.57%K -69.28%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.71%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.12%EV -10.99%E -9.16%K -54.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.65%EV -9.84%E -0.984%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -24.37%E -5.42%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.81%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.65%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.81%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.41%EV -11.65%E -1.19%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -7.57%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.88%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.49%EV -12.10%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.63%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 15:48 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.49%EV -9.50%E -7.79%K -43.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.44%EV -14.35%E -1.51%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.08%EV -11.77%E -2.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-06 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.78%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -4.21%E -0.738%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:29 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -7.28%E -5.82%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -18.86%E -2.10%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 72.27%EV -11.73%E -9.86%K -61.73%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.00%EV -22.46%E -2.61%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.73%EV -18.49%E -3.81%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-06 15:35 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| betPARX | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.03%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.11%EV -14.29%E -2.80%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -3.57%E -2.74%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -5.05%E -3.95%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -15.97%E -3.19%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.99%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -17.65%E -3.60%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.99%EV -5.79%E -4.56%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -23.37%E -2.75%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -17.65%E -3.60%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -8.02%E -6.47%K -33.41%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -27.87%E -3.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.28%EV -19.33%E -4.03%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-06 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.26%EV -10.24%E -8.47%K -48.78%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.93%EV -27.87%E -3.48%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.81%EV -12.61%E -2.42%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-06 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.10% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.10% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.10% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.86% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.91% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.09% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.00% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 15:45 |