Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.37
assuming max odds 10.66
assuming max odds 5.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 70.32%; Sligo Rovers (Visit): 10.52%; Draw: 19.16%. For Sligo Rovers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.51. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.13%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 10.66I 9.38%NM 8.99%EV +12.13%E +1.14%K +1.26%G +0.152% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.97%EV -3.25%E -0.644%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +5.18%E +0.518%K +0.576%G +0.030% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV +5.18%E +0.518%K +0.576%G +0.030% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.32%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 17:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.77%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -3.23%E -0.351%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV -5.33%E -0.593%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.33%E -0.593%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -5.33%E -0.593%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.00%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.37%EV -3.66%E -2.67%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 8.77I 11.40%NM 10.68%EV -7.75%E -0.884%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.95%EV -14.36%E -3.21%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.04%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -2.29%E -0.449%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.39%E -9.04%K -43.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.39%E -9.04%K -43.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.18%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.22%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.18%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%EV -19.53%E -4.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.29%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.29%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.92%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.92%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -15.85%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -15.85%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -13.50%E -10.98%K -58.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -15.85%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.87%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -18.48%E -2.38%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.04%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.85%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -18.48%E -2.38%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.35%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.23%EV -11.39%E -9.04%K -43.82%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 11.78%EV -23.22%E -3.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.99%EV -17.62%E -4.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.27%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -26.37%E -3.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |