L’École des cotes

Bohemians v Sligo Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Prévision 70.32%1.42cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -2.67%
Kelly -9.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.85%70.24%70.19%72.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.231.301.301.3781.30%76.81%76.92%72.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sligo Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.52%9.51cote équitable
EV +12.13%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.152%

avec la cote maximale 10.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.99%10.55%10.66%12.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.498.5010.6614.29%11.77%11.76%9.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.16%5.22cote équitable
EV -0.376%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.090%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.72%19.22%19.15%20.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.814.855.2023.81%20.79%20.62%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%10.66I 9.38%NM 8.99%EV +12.13%E +1.14%K +1.26%G +0.152%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.97%EV -3.25%E -0.644%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-10 18:35
Coolbet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +5.18%E +0.518%K +0.576%G +0.030%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 17:49
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV +5.18%E +0.518%K +0.576%G +0.030%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 17:39
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 71.32%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 17:50
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 17:49
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 70.77%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 18:34
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -3.23%E -0.351%K -0.394%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 18:35
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV -5.33%E -0.593%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 18:39
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.33%E -0.593%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:40
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.38%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -5.33%E -0.593%K -0.667%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.00%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 18:25
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.37%EV -3.66%E -2.67%K -9.88%G +0.000%8.77I 11.40%NM 10.68%EV -7.75%E -0.884%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 20.95%EV -14.36%E -3.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 18:35
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.04%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 18:39
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:00
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:00
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:00
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:00
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 18:01
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:39
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -2.29%E -0.449%K -0.559%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 18:00
Virgin Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.39%E -9.04%K -43.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 18:01
LiveScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.39%E -9.04%K -43.82%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 18:01
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 70.18%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-10 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.22%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.18%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%EV -19.53%E -4.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-10 18:25
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.29%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 18:40
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.29%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-10 18:40
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 68.92%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 68.92%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 18:40
Betway1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -15.85%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:20
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -15.85%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-10 18:25
PMU (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -13.50%E -10.98%K -58.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -15.85%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.87%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-10 18:00
BetMGM1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -18.48%E -2.38%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.04%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 18:39
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 67.85%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -18.48%E -2.38%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 18:40
Winamax (DE)1.31I 76.34%NM 69.35%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 18:40
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 18:40
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 18:40
Unibet (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 68.23%EV -11.39%E -9.04%K -43.82%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 11.78%EV -23.22%E -3.18%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.99%EV -17.62%E -4.10%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-10 18:40
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.27%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -26.37%E -3.77%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 18:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%1.0%2026-04-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%1.0%2026-04-10 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%1.0%2026-04-10 18:40
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69%1.0%2026-04-10 18:40