La escuela de los momiosBohemians v Sligo Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bohemians (Local)
Predicción 70.32%1.42momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -2.67%
Kelly -9.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.85%70.24%70.19%72.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.231.301.301.3781.30%76.81%76.92%72.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sligo Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 10.52%9.51momio equitativo
EV +12.13%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.152%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.99%10.55%10.66%12.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.498.5010.6614.29%11.77%11.76%9.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.16%5.22momio equitativo
EV -0.376%
Ventaja -0.072%
Kelly -0.090%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.72%19.22%19.15%20.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.814.855.2023.81%20.79%20.62%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 10.66I 9.38%NM 8.99%EV +12.13%E +1.14%K +1.26%G +0.152% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.97%EV -3.25%E -0.644%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.48%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.51%EV +5.18%E +0.518%K +0.576%G +0.030% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-10 17:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.41%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV +5.18%E +0.518%K +0.576%G +0.030% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 17:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.32%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.92%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.98%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.65%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.58%E -6.60%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-10 17:49 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.77%EV -9.99%E -7.80%K -35.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -0.076%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-10 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.64%EV -7.17%E -5.43%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.14%EV -3.23%E -0.351%K -0.394%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -5.77%E -4.30%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.47%EV -5.33%E -0.593%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -5.33%E -0.593%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.32%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -5.33%E -0.593%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.00%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.37%EV -3.66%E -2.67%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 8.77I 11.40%NM 10.68%EV -7.75%E -0.884%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.95%EV -14.36%E -3.21%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.76%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.04%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| LeoVegas | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Casumo | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.44%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.84%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -0.376%E -0.072%K -0.090%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| BetUS | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.51%EV -10.69%E -8.42%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.81%EV -2.29%E -0.449%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.39%E -9.04%K -43.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.42%EV -11.39%E -9.04%K -43.82%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -4.21%E -0.842%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-10 18:01 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.18%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.32%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-10 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.22%EV -12.10%E -9.68%K -48.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.18%EV -10.59%E -1.25%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%EV -19.53%E -4.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| Betsson | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.29%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.29%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.92%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.92%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.01%EV -13.75%E -1.68%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.06%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -5.06%E -3.75%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -15.85%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-10 18:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -15.85%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -13.79%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-10 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -13.50%E -10.98%K -58.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -15.85%E -1.98%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.87%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-10 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.03%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.85%EV -18.48%E -2.38%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.04%E -1.67%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 18:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.85%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.64%EV -18.48%E -2.38%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.35%EV -7.88%E -6.01%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -6.12%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.19%EV -6.47%E -4.86%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -21.11%E -2.81%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.23%EV -11.39%E -9.04%K -43.82%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 11.78%EV -23.22%E -3.18%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.99%EV -17.62%E -4.10%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.27%EV -9.28%E -7.20%K -32.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -26.37%E -3.77%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.15%EV -11.87%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.30% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-10 18:40 |