Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bohemians v Galway United

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bohemians (Local)

Prediction 60.98%1.64fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -7.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.43%61.00%60.97%63.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.501.5770.92%67.10%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Galway United (Visit)

Prediction 15.83%6.32fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +0.394%
Kelly +0.466%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 6.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.29%15.84%15.84%17.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.865.966.4820.00%17.05%16.78%15.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.20%4.31fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.611%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.77%23.15%23.19%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.984.004.2029.41%25.10%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bohemians (Local): 60.98%; Galway United (Visit): 15.83%; Draw: 23.20%. For Galway United (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.32. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.88%E -3.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.78%EV +2.55%E +0.394%K +0.466%G +0.012%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.82%EV -6.74%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.62%EV -11.59%E -7.99%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 19:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:34
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.94%EV -12.80%E -8.95%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 19:31
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.27%E -2.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.27%E -2.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -12.80%E -8.95%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -14.02%E -9.95%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -14.02%E -9.95%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -2.67%E -0.434%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -7.67%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:39
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.30%EV -4.88%E -3.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.88%E -3.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:19
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 19:24
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.41%EV -5.49%E -3.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.82%EV -6.31%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.77%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.00%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.70%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.78%EV -9.00%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.17%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.79%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:24
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.79%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -14.02%E -9.95%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 15.80%EV -12.17%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.03%EV -7.67%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-13 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:35
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -5.49%E -3.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-13 19:25
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -16.49%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -16.12%E -3.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:15
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:15
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.21%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.67%EV -17.70%E -3.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.12%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-13 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.18%EV -10.98%E -7.52%K -23.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-13 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -21.13%E -6.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 19:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:20