La escuela de los momios

Bohemians v Galway United

Inicio: 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Predicción 60.98%1.64momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -7.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.43%61.00%60.97%63.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.491.501.5770.92%67.10%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Galway United (Visitante)

Predicción 15.83%6.32momio equitativo
EV +2.55%
Ventaja +0.394%
Kelly +0.466%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.29%15.84%15.84%17.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.865.966.4820.00%17.05%16.78%15.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.20%4.31momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.611%
Kelly -0.802%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.77%23.15%23.19%25.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.984.004.2029.41%25.10%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.88%E -3.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.78%EV +2.55%E +0.394%K +0.466%G +0.012%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.82%EV -6.74%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.62%EV -11.59%E -7.99%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 19:34
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:34
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 63.94%EV -12.80%E -8.95%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 19:31
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.27%E -2.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.27%E -2.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -12.80%E -8.95%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 19:35
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -14.02%E -9.95%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -14.02%E -9.95%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:35
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -2.67%E -0.434%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -7.67%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:39
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.30%EV -4.88%E -3.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 19:35
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.88%E -3.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 19:20
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:19
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:15
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 19:24
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.41%EV -5.49%E -3.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.82%EV -6.31%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.77%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.00%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:25
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.70%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.78%EV -9.00%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.17%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 19:20
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.79%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:24
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.79%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -14.02%E -9.95%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 15.80%EV -12.17%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.03%EV -7.67%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-13 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -5.49%E -3.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-13 19:25
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 19:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -16.49%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -16.12%E -3.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:15
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.21%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.67%EV -17.70%E -3.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.12%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-13 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.18%EV -10.98%E -7.52%K -23.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-13 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -21.13%E -6.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:20