L’École des cotes

Bohemians v Galway United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bohemians (Local)

Prévision 60.98%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.72%
Kelly -7.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.43%61.00%60.97%63.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.491.501.5770.92%67.10%66.67%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Galway United (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.83%6.32cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +0.394%
Kelly +0.466%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 6.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.29%15.84%15.84%17.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.865.966.4820.00%17.05%16.78%15.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -0.611%
Kelly -0.802%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.77%23.15%23.19%25.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.984.004.2029.41%25.10%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.88%E -3.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.78%EV +2.55%E +0.394%K +0.466%G +0.012%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.82%EV -6.74%E -1.68%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-13 19:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.62%EV -11.59%E -7.99%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.41%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-13 19:34
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:34
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 63.78%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.35%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:35
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 63.94%EV -12.80%E -8.95%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV +1.29%E +0.201%K +0.238%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 19:31
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.27%E -2.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:20
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.84%EV -4.27%E -2.72%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.28%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-13 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.39%EV -12.80%E -8.95%K -29.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.50%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-13 19:35
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -14.02%E -9.95%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 63.71%EV -14.02%E -9.95%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.37%EV -1.09%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-13 19:35
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.17%EV -2.67%E -0.434%K -0.518%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.44%EV -7.67%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:39
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.30%EV -4.88%E -3.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-13 19:35
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.88%E -3.13%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.76%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-13 19:20
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:19
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 19:15
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -5.04%E -0.841%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-13 19:24
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.41%EV -5.49%E -3.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.82%EV -6.31%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.77%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.00%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 19:25
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.70%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.78%EV -9.00%E -1.57%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -14.17%E -3.83%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-13 19:20
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.79%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:24
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 60.90%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.79%E -1.72%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%EV -6.05%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:24
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 60.04%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -11.37%E -2.03%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Unibet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.18%EV -14.02%E -9.95%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 15.80%EV -12.17%E -2.19%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.03%EV -7.67%E -1.93%K -2.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-13 19:40
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.71%E -4.38%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-13 19:35
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -5.49%E -3.54%K -9.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.20%EV -7.32%E -4.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.16%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-13 19:35
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-13 19:15
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.97%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-13 19:25
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 19:20
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.18%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -12.96%E -2.36%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -16.49%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-13 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.65%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.16%EV -16.12%E -3.04%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:15
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:15
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -16.91%E -3.22%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.21%EV -12.20%E -8.47%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.67%EV -17.70%E -3.40%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.12%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-13 19:25
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.18%EV -10.98%E -7.52%K -23.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-13 19:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -8.54%E -5.69%K -17.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -20.87%E -4.17%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -21.13%E -6.21%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-13 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:40
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.87%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-03-13 19:20